By
Daud Khattak
March 09,
2021
Six years
after their defeat, the once-dreaded Pakistani Taliban have staged a gradual
comeback in their former territories in Waziristan, the rugged tribal region
bordering Afghanistan, by carrying out targeted killings, attacking Pakistani
security forces, kidnapping government officials, and collecting protection
money from local businessmen and government contractors.
The visible
uptick in Taliban attacks over the past year in north and South Waziristan is
believed to be the result of the re-unification and merger of several Taliban factions
and splinters in the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a loose alliance of
militant groups founded by the then-Taliban chief Baitullah Mehsud in 2007.
Baitullah
Mehsud, a veteran of the Afghan “jihad,” was killed in a drone strike in August
2009 and was replaced by Hakimullah Mehsud, another ruthless commander from the
Mehsud clan, as the group’s new leader. However, Hakimullah Mehsud’s killing,
also in a drone strike, in November 2013 opened cracks in the TTP alliance.
Several
factions parted ways with the TTP following the appointment of Mullah
Fazlullah, a non-Mehsud and non-tribal, as head of the banned militant group.
Already weakened by its internal rifts and the separation of various factions
and splinters, the TTP received what was perceived as a final blow when
Pakistan launched a massive military operation, Zarb-e-Azb, in June 2014.
The TTP
leadership fled across the border to hide in eastern and southeastern
Afghanistan. The Taliban under Fazlullah struggled for survival. However,
Fazlullah’s death in June 2018, also in a drone strike, once again returned the
TTP leadership to the Mehsud Taliban.
Mufti Noor
Wali Mehsud, who is considered a writer and strategist rather than a hardened
fighter, focused on bringing the various factions together under the TTP
umbrella again over the next two years.
Besides his
re-unification efforts, Mufti moved the TTP headquarters from eastern
Afghanistan – Kunar and Nangarhar provinces – to the southeast in Paktika
province, where the remote Bermal district provides his men easy access across
the border into the former TTP stronghold of south Waziristan.
Being a
Mehsud himself, Mufti Noor Wali not only managed to bring in the Mehsud
factions of the TTP, but also win over the support of Taliban from Mohmand, Bajaur,
and other tribal districts, besides bringing in groups affiliated with al-Qaeda
and the Punjabi Taliban.
In July and
August 2020, a Taliban spokesman announced the merger of the Amjad Farouqi
group and one faction of the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi under the commander of Maulvi
Khush Muhammad Sindhi, in the TTP.
In November
2020, the TTP claimed the joining of Maulvi Aleem Khan, another
Waziristan-based commander, along with nine commanders, while the same month,
another TTP pamphlet suggested that Umar Izzam, known as Ghazi Umar Izzam, from
Miami tribe joined the TTP along with his group “Musa Shaheed Karwan.”
The biggest
success for the TTP under Mufti, however, was the re-joining of two strong
factions – Jamat ul Ahrar (JuA) under Omar Khalid Khorasani and Hezb ul Ahar
(HeA) of Omar Khorasani – in August 2020. The JuA is a breakaway faction of the
TTP, while the HuA is a splinter of the JuA. Both operate in the Mohmand tribal
district and the separation came as a result of the TTP leadership rivalries
that followed the death of Hakimullah Mehsud in 2013.
It was the
JuA faction of the TTP under Omar Khalid Khorasani that carried out the
February 2016 Easter Sunday terrorist attack in Lahore, which killed around 75
and injured about 350 people, mostly women and children.
The
re-emergence and re-unification of the Pakistani Taliban in the
Pakistan-Afghanistan border region is of deep concern not just for Pakistan but
also for Afghanistan, India, China, and the United States, which is struggling
to end its two-decade-long war in Afghanistan.
Afghanistan
is already reeling from Taliban violence while India is facing a jihadist
threat in the part of Kashmir under the Indian control. The multi-headed
monster may also affect China, given the country’s very visible presence and
huge investments in Pakistan. In addition, the TTP still has connections with
Uyghurs, some of which migrated to Afghanistan from Waziristan in the aftermath
of Operation Zarb-e-Azb in June 2014.
The TTP has
also expanded its financial resources, with local sources suggesting that group
is levying taxes on contractors working on developmental projects such as road
construction and the building of schools and hospitals in Waziristan and the
adjacent districts.
According
to local sources, the Taliban charge 5 percent of the total amounts of
contracts from local contractors in Waziristan. The group has recently expanded
its extortion network to the neighbouring district of Tank and the more distant
city of Karachi, Pakistan’s commercial capital.
Image
building is another area for the re-organized TTP leadership and unlike his
predecessors, Mufti Noor Wali regularly issues pamphlets and statements. Some
use nationalist slogans to win the support of his fellow tribesmen.
In one
recent Urdu-language statement, when the government security agencies issued a
threat warning in February 2021 asking pro-government elders, government
officials, and journalists to beware of Taliban attacks, a TTP spokesman
quickly reacted, mocking the government for being “unable to ensure safety of
its citizens.”
In the same
statement, the TTP spokesman said “we would like to inform the people of
Waziristan along with other Pakistanis that we are not targeting the common
people.” This is in contrast with the policies of the previous TTP chiefs who
cared less for the safety of civilians.
Mufti Noor
Wali has closer links with the Afghan Taliban, leaders of the Haqqani Network,
and remnants of al-Qaeda in the border region. This is in contrast with his
predecessor Fazlullah, who was believed to be closer to the Afghan security
agencies.
It was
Mufti’s closer links with the Haqqanis and Afghan Taliban that, according to an
unofficial source, prompted Pakistani security agencies to contact him to start
peace talks and put an end to the violence. The source said that while the
Haqqani Network and the Afghan Taliban may advise the TTP leadership to declare
a ceasefire, they can not and would not force him to accept their advice.
Although
the TTP has yet to prove its presence in the cities, its increasing attacks in
Waziristan are reminiscent of its 2007 emergence in the tribal region and their
gradual expansion to cities.
Another
worrying aspect of the TTP’s re-emergence is the Afghanistan end game. Regardless
of whether the Afghan government and the Taliban agree on a durable peace deal
or the situation worsens in the case of no deal, the Pakistani Taliban will
find solid ground for maintaining their presence and expanding their operations
in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border region.
The
Pakistani Taliban will be encouraged and inspired to continue their militancy
in case the Afghan Taliban, as is expected by some, manages to score a
significant role in Afghanistan’s future governments. However, the continuation
of the Afghan insurgency, in the case of no deal, would be equally
inspirational for TTP fighters and commanders mainly because they will continue
to find a cause for their “jihad.”
The last
time Pakistan struck a serious blow to the TTP was June 2014’s Operation
Zarb-e-Azb which pushed the militants out of the tribal areas and shattered
their command and control structure. However, that push incurred heavy losses
on the tribal people as over a million were displaced and their properties and
businesses were destroyed.
Many of
those tribesmen still live outside their home areas and hold protest
demonstrations demanding compensation for their losses. The re-emergence of the
Taliban in areas promised to have been cleared of militants is a source of
serious concern.
Despite
rendering huge sacrifices as a frontline state in the global war against
terrorism, Pakistan has earned a bad name for what is called a “double game” by
the country’s security agencies concerning the Taliban.
At a time
when international forces are preparing to withdraw from Afghanistan, critics
believe the re-emergence of Taliban in Pakistan’s tribal areas points to a new
twist in Pakistan’s Taliban policy.
Pakistan
won a hard battle against the TTP, sacrificing thousands of lives and suffering
huge financial losses. The Taliban’s return would not only spoil those gains,
but also damage the trust in state power that was restored by defeating Taliban
in the region.
-----
Daud
Khattak is managing editor for Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty’s Pashto
language Mashaal Radio.
Original
Headline: The Pakistani Taliban is Back
Source: The Diplomat
URL: https://newageislam.com/radical-islamism-jihad/tehreek-e-taliban-pakistan-threat/d/124544
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