By Mujahid Hussain, New Age Islam
7 July 2014
The political situation in Pakistan seems to be static now as Allama Tahirul Qadri and Imran Khan have agreed to give the government some weeks’ respite. Definitely, Tahirul Qadri is refraining from any encumbrances in respect of and due to the engagements during the month of Ramazan. Imran Khan, on the other hand, has decided to make his final attack on the Independence Day. Those who want Islamabad free from Mian brothers will have to wait for a while. Mian Brothers are also present in Raiwind and are busy removing all the misunderstandings of minister Chaudhary Nisar Ali Khan and patch up the differences among the leaders of their own party the Muslims League.
It is hoped that Mian Brothers will appease Chaudhary Nisar Ali and will prevent further disintegration of Muslim League. But the entire exercise may not help them to change the direction of winds blowing in the form of Tahirul Qadri and Imran Khan’s movements. It would be premature to say how dangerous Imran Khan and Tahirul Qadir will prove for the government. But it is a fact that both are making all out efforts to make their attacks lethal.
Tahirul Qadri has instructed all his well wishers and likeminded people to come to Pakistan and take part in the Revolution while Imran Khan has the successful experience of holding big rallies. It is said that he may succeed in holding a big rally in Islamabad too. For example, if both the leaders take their respective rallies to a particular extent and get the strength for which they are anxiously waiting, they are silent on how they will complete the journey to Revolution.
Definitely, the two leaders believe that when their rallies will make changes in the power inevitable, the national army will come into motion and take over Islamabad. The Prime Minister will be removed and will be transported to a ‘safe place’ and announcements will be made for the speech of the Army Chief. Emergency will be promulgated in the entire country. We have observed such a situation in the past. Our leaders often nurture such dreams. The interesting point is that this sometimes actually happens in Pakistan. However, let’s see if even one of the leaders has the strength to bring about such a complete revolution and that if another power exists that can prevent such a revolution?
It’s to be seen to what extent Tahirul Qadri can demonstrate the power to bring about the Revolution. The biggest threat before Tahirul Qadri is the injured terrorists thirsty for revenge than the Federal or Punjab government that can target any public rally to take revenge. Tahirul Qadri has a tough stance vis-à-vis such miscreants having issued a comprehensive fatwa against suicide bombings some time ago. After that terrorists do not have any soft corner for him. Another reason for the terrorists’ aversion to Tahirul Qadri is his inclination towards the army and Tahirul Qadris’ organization, Pakistan Awami Tehreek is the only party that has organised rallies in support of Operation Zarb-e-Azb in North Waziristan.
There are also reports that the terrorists have threatened the central office of Tahirul Qadri more than once and Tahirul Qadri is a major target of the terrorists. Another more serious reason for the terrorists’ enmity with Tahirul Qadri which can become more lethal in future is their serious sectarian differences with Tahirul Qadri. To ascertain another fatal and quite similar form of these differences one can look at the treatment meted out to the Sunni Tehreek in Karachi as to how the extremists have eliminated the leadership of Sunni movement selectively. The threats are still present.
If the sectarian differences take a turn against Tahirul Qadri and his organisation, the State may be faced with a bigger threatening situation. It can be said that there is no love’s labour lost between Tahirul Qadri’s organisation and the armed militants of Pakistan. The enmity may become more severe if Tahirul Qadri gets some political strength. Therefore, it can be easily said that before bringing about any revolution, Tahirul Qadri may have to face a difficult situation of which we have all the details.
As for Imran Khan, many speculations are being made about his much publicized Tsunami to take place on 14th August. If the government bows before demands made by Imran Khan and holds transparent elections in four constituencies, he has promised to withdraw his call for Tsunami rally. It is obvious, to avoid a greater problem, the government may order transparent re-elections in those constituencies and investigations of finger prints etc. If Imran Khan’s allegation on the four constituencies proves to be true, the government will certainly lose the four seats and Imran Khan will have a moral victory over the government.
But what next? Even Imran Khan does not have the answer. Obviously, in such a situation Imran Khan will make the noble demand that the government should resign and announce mid-term elections. Will the government resign after such an embarrassment? A general opinion is that nothing of this sort will happen and Imran Khan will express his resolve to make another attack. How effective will his next attack be? Will he give another call for a Tsunami or dissolve his Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government? Imran Khan will stick to the government like a limpet. This is a situation about which no final conclusion can easily be made. However, it can be said that the state will suffer more and situation will further deteriorate.