By New Age Islam Edit
Desk
1 December
2020
•
Provocations In The Middle East
By Abdul Sattar
• Lesser Beings
By Dr Niaz Murtaza
• Pandemic Politics
By Yasser Latif Hamdani
• Our Game Of Thrones: PDMs Activities
By Sabbah Uddin
• Truth Of The Matter
By Owen Bennett-Jones
-----
Provocations in the Middle East
By Abdul Sattar
December 1,
2020
The recent
assassination of Iranian scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh has sent tremors through
the region. The scientist, considered the godfather of the Iranian nuclear
programme, was killed in Tehran
Though
Fakhrizadeh was not the first scientist to be eliminated in this way, he was
definitely the most important figure among the Iranian scientific community. A
decade earlier, a number of Iranian men of science allegedly affiliated with
the country’s nuclear programme were attacked and exterminated. The string of
assassinations was blamed on Israeli intelligence at that time and this killing
has also created doubts about the hands of the Zionist state.
The
assassination may have created a ripple of excitement in Tel Aviv but it has
sparked a wave of concern across the Middle East. This is the second
high-profile assassination, the elimination of General Qassem Soleimani being
the first under the Trump administration. Given this second assassination was
carried out days after a reported meeting between Saudi, Israeli and American
officials, it has prompted many Iranians to point their fingers towards the
axis. It may be mentioned that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Natanyahu had
talked about this Iranian scientist in 2018, urging his nation to remember this
name.
The
international community has adopted a criminal silence over the assassination,
asking the victim to show restraint instead of condemning the incident. From
the United Nations to the European Union, all international bodies are more
interested in preventing Tehran from undertaking retaliatory actions than
taking notice of this illegal assassination that is likely to strengthen the
position of hardliners in the theocratic state and put the doves in a defensive
position. If the international community had taken a principled and moral
position over Soleimani's killing, another illegal murder would not have taken
place. Despite the fact that the special rapporteur of the UN had declared the
murder illegal in its report, no action was taken against the perpetrator. Such
indifference on the part of the world may have encouraged rogue elements within
the Zionist state to carry out such a blatant attack.
Many
critics believe that the victory of Joe Biden and his plan to revive the
Iranian nuclear deal has created consternation among those that want to
destabilize the Middle East. Such elements are jittery now, trying to provoke
Iran in a bid to derail efforts for the revival of the deal. It is believed
that the incoming secretary of state Antony Blinken is also an ardent supporter
of the deal. Such a scenario offers a bleak future for those who want to see
the Middle East in perpetual turmoil, benefitting only a few corporations, war
mongers, ultra conservatives and anti-peace elements; of course, such steps by
a Biden administration augurs well for all those who are wary of the constant
belligerence and the threat of war.
The region
has already suffered a lot because of the machinations of the military
industrial complex and Zionist lobbies. Proxies of Iran and Saudi Arabia added
to the woes of the people in countries like Syria, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq.
More than 2.5 million are estimated to have perished following the illegal
invasion of Iraq and the ensuing insurgencies and sectarian frenzy that gripped
the country after the attack.
The effects
of Iraq’s war did not remain confined to the invaded country but engulfed Syria
and other parts of the region too, triggering a race of regional hegemony. This
invasion in a way is also responsible for the destruction of Syria that lost
more than 555,000 souls besides witnessing one of the biggest migration and
displacement of the modern times, with around 11 million people living as
internal or foreign refugees. The destruction has also caused over $200 billion
loss to the hapless country.
Tehran and
Riyadh are not only vying for influence in Iraq and Syria but their race for
regional hegemony is also plaguing other parts of the world. In countries like
Pakistan, their tussle is damaging the social fabric of society while Yemen and
Lebanon are living in a constant fear of death and destruction because of this
cold war between the Arabs and the Persians. This latest killing of the Iranian
scientist is likely to heat up war fronts in Yemen and create more problems for
the people of Iraq, Lebanon and Syria.
Iran may
not directly respond to these provocations but a meticulous use of proxies in
the region cannot be ruled out. Tehran may not be in a position to directly hit
Israel nor would it dare attack US troops in Iraq but it could imperil the
interests of Saudi Arabia in the region.
Barring a
few hardliners, most of Iranian leaders have demonstrated political sagacity
while dealing with American and Israeli provocations. It is clear that elements
in Israel and America want to lure Iran into taking some incendiary actions
that might give them an excuse to launch their onslaught against the Islamic
Republic. This was their aim when Soleimani was targeted but the theocratic
state foiled their designs by staying calm and showing restraint. The Iranian
nation patiently waited for Trump's drubbing, which has seriously disturbed
pro-Israeli lobbies and hardliners in the US administration. This Trump defeat
seems to have created a ray of hope. It may open the door of talks and
negotiations that could help Iranian people get relief and succour from the
international community.
The
outgoing president of the ‘mighty state of America’ will leave no stone
unturned in pushing the region towards a conflagration. He might come up with
bizarre plans of targeting Iranian nuclear installations. Hardliners in Trump’s
camp like Pompeo might suggest extreme steps to teach Iran a tough lesson but
Iran will still have to demonstrate political prudence. Only pragmatism will
help the Iranians defeat these machinations of such war-mongers. Any plan to
pick a confrontation will not only create problems for the Iranian people but
those of the whole region as well.
Iran,
therefore, should assure the international community that it believes in
diplomacy and peaceful means of solving problems. It should reign in its proxies,
preventing them from taking any retaliatory actions because in international
matters a spark could turn out to be extremely combustible. Even the slightest
move to avenge the attack could provide an opportunity to Israel and its
regional collaborators to exploit the situation
Tehran
should put its case before the international audience, and highlight the plans
of those who want to destabilize the region by carrying out provocative
actions. It should come up with viable solutions for the conflicts in Yemen and
Syria and make efforts to end the rifts that exist between the Shias and the
Sunnis in Iraq.
There is no
harm in offering an olive branch to Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States as well.
An offer of no war and a non-interference pact could go a long way in
mitigating these apprehensions. If the regional states turn down such an offer,
it would boost the Iranian position, exposing their anti-peace designs.
Therefore, it is important that all peaceful efforts be made to stabilize a
region that has witnessed nothing but chaos and instability for decades.
Political wisdom is all that is required to achieve this.
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/751663-provocations-in-the-middle-east
-----
Lesser Beings
By Dr Niaz Murtaza
01 Dec 2020
DESPITE
huge progress since 1850, inequity due to exploitation and exclusion remains
entrenched globally. The fruits of progress have accrued largely to a minority
while the majority remains deprived. Inequity existed before capitalism too,
but capitalism has entrenched it further. Today, inequity extends from the
global to national, regional, community and finally household levels. Each
higher level in this chain from the global to household pressurises levels
below to exploit and exclude lesser beings under their control.
Exploitation
and exclusion processes differ hugely. Under exploitation, pre-capitalist or
capitalist hegemonic systems engage with labourers, farmers or petty producers
in inequitable ties to capture the bulk of the returns from their work, while
supporting them just enough to reproduce for future exploitation. Under
exclusion, human groups either possess little of value or are dispossessed of
their natural resources by hegemonic systems. The group is then left to fend
for itself with little help from the system. Excluded groups often suffer more
than exploited ones as they deal on their own with the global threats unleashed
by the hegemonic system, eg, climate change and conflicts.
At the apex
level in this interlinked system of inequity sits the global economic system
run by the US. Value from developing states flows to the core Western states
through trade, investment, capital and brain drain and even aid flow systems
run by the latter. States producing higher-end goods for Western-controlled
value chains, eg Korea and China, attain progress. But those producing
lower-end goods remain stagnant. Others, such as in Africa, are largely
excluded from global value chains but face conflict and shrinking resources due
to the impact of global politics and economics.
States like
Pakistan produce a few low-end goods for exploitative global value chains while
large parts of their economy are irrelevant for and excluded from the global
economy. Such states then have internal systems of exploitation and exclusion
maintained by private elites and even the state. This in turn spawns violence
as some exploited and excluded groups fight back. The most visible case is
Balochistan whose natural resources are exploited by the Pakistani state while
the majority of its people are excluded from the fruits of progress, resulting
in decades of conflict. Less visible cases also exist involving other
peripheral regions.
Progress
requires new laws and strict implementation.
Where the
exploitative arm of the state doesn’t reach, private entities fill the space.
The exploitation of labourers, small farmers and petty producers and their
frequent physical abuse in the agricultural, service and industrial sectors of
Pakistan is well reported. Excluded groups exist nationally too, such as transgender
persons who face stigma and resort to demeaning jobs to survive. Below these
regional levels exist patterns of exploitation and exclusion at the local and
community levels as people belonging to weaker castes, clans and faiths suffer.
Finally, at the household level, women, persons with disabilities, elderly and
children usually suffer exploitation, exclusion and physical abuse.
The
inequities at these different levels may seem disconnected with each other.
More careful analysis shows that inequities at the lowest levels are often part
of unfair value chains that transmit the fruits of exploitation from the
household all the way up to the global level. Although an increasing number of
progressive groups are challenging inequities at each level from the global to
household levels, there isn’t major progress in reducing inequities. Progress
requires new laws at the global, national and regional levels and then strict
implementation. Even where laws are formed, enforcement is usually weak.
So Pakistan
is one of the few states to now legally recognise transpersons as a third
gender, something not being done uniformly even in the US. Surprisingly for a
conservative state like Pakistan, such recognition is based on
self-identification rather than demeaning physical tests. This is in line with
progressive scientific and legal evolution in advanced democracies where the
key basis for identifying sex and race is increasingly becoming a person’s
mental inclination rather than outdated notions of rigid biology. The law gives
rights to trans-people related to non-bias, work, education, inheritance etc.
But there are gaps too, eg, silence on the right to marriage and adopt kids.
And enforcement remains poor.
Their
status gives a sense of the suffering of numerous lesser beings globally. It is
difficult to see major and quick progress for them under the current global
system soon. Only a major change in the global economic and political paradigms
can ensure quick and major progress for lesser beings globally.
------
Dr Niaz Murtaza is a political economist and
heads INSPIRING Pakistan, a progressive policy unit.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1593374/lesser-beings
-----
Pandemic Politics
By Yasser Latif
Hamdani
December 1,
2020
Let me
start by saying I am no public health policy expert and my musings are simply
based on what I have observed as a layman. No reasonable person can actually
believe the numbers that the Government has been putting out since the start of
the Pandemic. When the Government wants to lower the numbers, it starts
carrying out fewer tests and when it wants to increase them- as it does right
now- it increases the numbers of tests. Pakistan’s infection rate is at about
six percent. This means at 100,000 tests, Pakistan’s number of infections will
be 6000 per day. If Pakistan were to increase this to say 1 million tests a
day, the infection numbers would reach 60,000 cases a day. So why are the
hospitals not filling up you may ask? For most people in Pakistan the virus has
very mild symptoms and that is something we have yet to understand. It can have
something to do with the fact that Pakistan’s population is younger than other
countries. It also means that this government is betting on getting herd
immunity and is callous towards the deaths it may cause.
The second
wave is going to be deadly and it will be deadly because of this Government and
Government alone but it will find an easy scapegoat. This time the virus will
not differentiate between the young and the old. What is needed, as has been
needed since the beginning of the pandemic is an 18-day complete lockdown. If
Pakistan locks down strictly for 24 days, the Pandemic will be wiped out. It is
commonsense. In 24 days everyone who has coronavirus would have either
recovered or unfortunately would be dead. Furthermore, the Government should
impose a 14 day quarantine for every visitor from abroad.
These are
all basic things that the government should look at but it deliberately won’t.
The real reason the government is refusing to lockdown is to ensure that the
anti-government PDM jalsas can be blamed for the second wave. For its part the
opposition is playing into the hands of the government despite knowing well
that one Jalsas are not going to bring down this damnable government and second
their Jalsas are super spreader events that will definitely compound the
Pandemic. Once the second wave is out of control, the Government will impose a
lockdown and blame the opposition for not just the second wave but the economic
fall out of the lock down. Thus instead of sitting out the second wave the
opposition has dug itself into a hole. Meanwhile for the Government it is a
win-win. If the second wave turns out to be less deadly than predicted, it will
take credit for it. If the second wave turns very deadly, it will blame it on
the opposition. To prove that the second wave is deadly, the Government will
simply start testing more.
Once the
second wave is out of control, the Government will impose a lockdown and blame
the opposition for not just the second wave but the economic fall out of the
lock down
One thing
that it proves is that none of the actors involve care much for the effect on
the Pandemic on the poor and hapless masses of this country. In the
opposition’s case, not only are they callous but their political decisions will
only hurt them in the long run. Their super spreader events are likely to
alienate their supporters. The best thing would be to wait till some sanity is
achieved in the Pandemic. What will be gained if the Government goes? Will
there be new elections? How will these elections be conducted during the
Pandemic? And suppose the elections were conducted during the Pandemic, which
is highly unlikely, and suppose the opposition won the elections, would it be
able to control the Pandemic? It will be an utter disaster for the opposition.
The Pandemic will spiral out of control because of the elections and the
challenges faced by the new government are likely to be so grave that it would
collapse and hoist with its own petard. Do the leaders of the opposition
parties really want to do this? A better strategy would be rail about the
persecution that has not abated during the Pandemic. The Government is guilty
of political victimization. The more the Government victimizes the opposition
during the Pandemic, the more opposition is like to win the sympathy of the
people. Secondly the opposition must continue to criticize the Government for
the mishandling of the Covid Crisis. Research will show that the Government is
fudging numbers. This alone will give the opposition enough ammunition to make
the Government look bad. So one’s advice to the opposition would be stand aside
and see the Government collapse under the weight of its terrible mistakes
during this crisis.
https://dailytimes.com.pk/696134/pandemic-politics
-----
Our Game Of Thrones: PDMs Activities
By Sabbah Uddin
DECEMBER 1,
2020
“Politics
is not a game but a serious business,” said Winston Churchill. However, in
Pakistan, we routinely understand and usually practice politics as a game, or
should I say, a “game of thrones”. Just like the American fictional drama, we
also have few seemingly noble families wage war against each other to gain
control over the government governing the land of pure. Just like the HBO
drama, the game we play has got kings and knights, crowns, and assassinations.
However, instead of dragons or ghosts, we have intimidating corruption
watchdogs, aggressive top courts, and an always watching invisible
establishment. Although the American drama is available on Home Box Office
(HBO) and selective streaming services only, while our version of “game of
thrones” is premiered each day throughout the year on all television channels
round the clock. The plot and storyline of our version of the drama covered
even in the news bulletins revolve around blame-games, corruption scams, APCs
(all parties’ conferences), PDMs, and their anti-government agitations. The
compelling characters make the drama interesting for a normal Pakistani who
goes all his way even during the pandemic scare, just to see these characters
in action in live public gatherings. To summarize, the game of politics in our
country is aggressive to the very edge of bloody violence, packed with
ambitious male and few female characters fighting for power where the money
goes a long way to serve their purpose. In this game nothing stops them, even
the worst of pandemics, to pursue their objective.
While the
PDMs activities continue attracting huge public gatherings against the PTI led
government, Corona and its terror seems far from diminishing. The government
has somehow failed to persuade the opposition to end the agitation or at least
scale it down to stop the pandemic from playing havoc. At the same time PTI and
government were seen sponsoring similar gatherings and festivities in the
recent weeks thus losing the moral ground to stop the opposition from doing so.
However, the government, on the pretext of the pandemic situation, is
pretending to be thoughtful in stopping the PDM public gatherings. At least it
is trying to intimidate PDM by arresting opposition activists and lodging FIRs
against them. However, these might not be sufficient to discourage the
opposition. With the JUI-F hardline chauvinists ready to respond to any use of
force as already ordered by Maulana Fazal Ur Rehman, the situation could become
ugly. PTI government realizes the same thus using considered actions without
escalating the situation. On the face of it, PPP is considered to be a bit
calculative in its participation in PDM activities, yet is poised to introduce
Asifa Bhutto Zardari to national politics. After all, in Pakistan, the process
of becoming a leader never starts from the bottom but begins from the top.
The
government has somehow failed to persuade the opposition to end the agitation
or at least scale it down to stop the pandemic from playing havoc
The
government faces challenges on two fronts in this regard. On one end, it faces
uncertainty with regards to the pandemic as no predictive tools seem to be
working at the moment which may calculate how far this would go in claiming
lives and disrupting social order. Thus the government has a burden of
responsibility to look into additional preparedness and response efforts
against COVID-19 including; generation and mobilization of additional
resources, attract funds and investments in existing humanitarian response by
all organizations, and establish light and fast track procedures for all
government, non-government, civil-society and humanitarian organizations to
immediately organize their resources. On the other hand, the government has to
deal with the PDM onslaught which may bring thousands of anti-government
protestors loitering on the roads of the federal capital.
Justifiably,
the present economic situation in the country is not in favor of the common
citizens. If it is not the reality as government professes, the perception is
unfortunately as such. Thus, the common people, compressed due to economic
factors due to instability, show a higher level of fervor, desire, and
motivation to involve themselves in anarchist activities rather than creative
and economically productive activities. This fact may force the government to
take all necessary actions to not allow such a gathering, particularly in the federal
capital.
Politics of
agitation has harmed the country in a big way since it triggers a vicious cycle
which remains the main cause for the country’s under-development. Since
agitations create an uncertain political environment, thus nobody expects the
nation to develop, prosper, or progress. The reckoning of political instability
is very simple at least it is easily comprehensible in our case. With
uncertainty in the political atmosphere, the level of foreign and domestic
investments drastically falls; the speed of development progression slows down,
inflation shoots up, and the indicators of the economic growth engine start to
stall. This failure of the economy to take-off again in turn creates political
turbulence. It disrupts the productivity of a country by limiting its exports,
disturbs the tax system, and threatens the interests of investors who leave the
country. Thus the cycle
continues
forever.
Every
citizen understands that political stability is imperative for economic growth.
It is an essential ingredient for social cohesion since it avoids disharmony
between different institutions, promotes pluralistic norms, and addresses
resentments among different segments in the society. But, with such stable and
predictable politics, the political game would become a mundane affair. For us,
the “Game of Thrones” should remain captivating. Therefore issues related to
the sharing of powers between various players (such as opposing parties,
between institutions, and federal and provincial governments) erupt from time
to time increase people's interest in politics. For Pakistanis as a
nation, conflicts developed between various players are an interesting affair
to watch. Military interventions, dictatorships, political
deinstitutionalization, displaced leadership, dynastical politics, secessionist
movements, all of these make the drama more exciting for the average Pakistani.
Pakistan
for a long time has been under a dictatorship that is blamed a great deal for
political instability. But in reality, democracy also could not work to assure
political stability in Pakistan. For most of Pakistan’s history, political
leadership and dictators worked together through compromise and consultations.
How can this be denied as every dictator was supported by some political party?
I believe, as a nation, we need to look for a plot in the political game where
we could experience true democracy, a political system free from heredity
family politics, military dictators, leaders installed from above and above all
without the influence of money on politics. We must agree that as a nation we
need political players to enter into alliances not merely for the power-sharing
but to strive for the revival of true democracy and assure political stability.
https://dailytimes.com.pk/696133/our-game-of-thrones/
-----
Truth Of The Matter
By Owen Bennett-Jones
01 Dec 2020
FOR many
decades now the military establishment in Rawalpindi has been complaining that
the West has a narrative about Pakistan that is both unfair and impossible to change.
This version of Pakistan, they argue, goes something like this: Pakistan is
two-faced, pretending to fight militancy when in fact it supports violent
jihadists. Furthermore, Pakistan is a badly governed basket case, obsessed with
an unwinnable struggle for Kashmir, rendering it unnecessarily hostile to
India.
The
establishment’s attempt to overturn the key element of this narrative — support
for militancy — has gone through two main phases. Before 9/11 it simply denied
that it was supporting militants. And then, more recently, it has pointed to
the army’s victories over the Pakistani Taliban in the tribal areas and other
parts of northwest Pakistan. To the frustration of successive army chiefs,
however, neither approach has shifted the prevailing narrative.
Narratives
are extraordinarily durable. Edward Said’s argument about Orientalism — that
the West had hard-set, irrational perceptions about the East — amounted to a
description of a narrative according to which the East is filled with exotic,
irrational, lazy people who continually fail to make the most of Western
efforts to show them a better way to live. That set of ideas has been so
enduring that it informed not only 19th-century colonialism but also president
Bush’s 2003 war in Iraq.
Drones provide
another example. When the US was using unmanned aerial vehicles against Al
Qaeda and other targets in Fata and Afghanistan, journalists in the West and
Pakistan were united in reporting that they killed more civilians than
militants, helped Al Qaeda and were a breach of Pakistan’s sovereignty. In the
later years of the drone programme, however, none of these things were true.
The Bureau of Investigative Journalism, which for years made a very thorough
attempt to monitor drone victims, found that between 2013 and 2018 drones
killed a minimum of three and a maximum of 15 civilians. That compared with
over 300 militants killed. It is not the ratio that most people believe to be
true. As for Al Qaeda, internal documents from the organisation released in the
course of various US court cases, revealed that drones were the single most
effective weapon it faced. Meetings of Al Qaeda operatives became impossible
for fear that they would be droned. And the arguments about drones breaching
Pakistani sovereignty were always bogus. The drones, after all, took off from a
Pakistani airbase.
Narratives
are extraordinarily durable.
And yet for
all that, even the US, despite all its mastery of the media management, was
unable to shift the narrative about drones.
That’s not to
say that narratives can never be changed. In the UK one of the main two
political parties, the Labour Party, suffered election defeats in 1979, 1983,
1987 and 1992. The party was portrayed by the press as high-taxing, extremist
and weak on law and order. After the fourth defeat, a small group of reformers
attached themselves to Tony Blair and, rebranding the party as ‘New Labour’,
began to challenge the narrative. It took some years but with ruthless control
of media messaging and some genuine party reforms, they were able to change the
way the party was portrayed in the media and in 1997 Tony Blair was swept to
victory.
So where
does all that leave the generals hoping to change the narrative about Pakistan?
The claims that, in fact, Pakistan does not support militants have faced a
couple of problems. First everyone now realises that the much proclaimed
arrests of militant leaders are invariably followed by their quietly being
released. And then, from time to time, people such as Gen Musharraf, let the cat
of the bag by saying Pakistan does support some militant groups.
Even if the
ISPR was able to keep everyone on message, Pakistan cannot escape the fact that
after 9/11 Pakistan’s policy towards militants could hardly have come under
closer scrutiny. Western armies have long since reached a view on what was
happening and it’s impossible to imagine a media campaign being sufficient to
change their view.
So, if a
well-executed media policy is not going to subvert the narrative, that leaves
the option of genuine policy changes. At which point Pakistan’s strategists
need to take a view on whether it is at this stage worth switching to a new
approach. As the US campaign in Afghanistan winds down, Washington is no longer
focused on Af-Pak. When he becomes president, Joe Biden is highly unlikely to
see Pakistan as a place where he should be sending much foreign aid. All of
which suggests that even if Pakistan did change its policy on militants, the
foreign aid gains may not outweigh the benefits, as the military strategists
see it, of having militants project Pakistani power in the region.
----
Owen Bennett-Jones’s book The Bhutto Dynasty:
The Struggle for Power in Pakistan was published by Yale University Press
recently.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1593373/truth-of-the-matter
-----
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