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Middle East Press ( 24 Oct 2020, NewAgeIslam.Com)

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Middle East Press on Naya Pakistan, Presidential Debate 2020 and Saudi Ban: New Age Islam's Selection, 24 October 2020


By New Age Islam Edit Bureau

24 October 2020

• Is the Dream of Imran Khan’s Naya Pakistan Still a Possibility?

By Mehr Tarar

• Presidential Debate 2020: Biden Finds a Way to Handle Trump

By Virginia Heffernan

• The Final Debate Reinforced Biden’s Lead

By Anna Jacobs

• Saudi Ban Shows Importance of Rules-Based Trade

By Güven Sak

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Is The Dream of Imran Khan’s Naya Pakistan Still a Possibility?

By Mehr Tarar

October 24, 2020


All week long, Pakistan’s electronic media and Twitter were abuzz with two slogans and their aftermath. Without much ado, one incident turned into a colossal spectacle in less than twenty-four hours. That is the thing about the wrong slogans at the right place. And that is the thing about Pakistan. Small events have a way of enlarging themselves into massive dramas of Mexican soap opera-ish decibels and emotions and hamming.

IG of police “bullied”, the “deep state” acting in cahoots with the civilian government to harm the opposition, the opposition leadership’s pontification about the sanctity of “chaddar aur char-deewari” (veil and [sanctity of] four walls [of home]), and government pooh-poohing every claim of the opposition. Business as usual, and life and noise go on.

Amidst that din of Machiavellian politics came Prime Minister Imran Khan’s interview on ARY News on Friday evening. The opposition, and their supporters on Twitter, many of whom work for or used to work for various newspapers and TV channels, and analysts and self-proclaimed intellectuals, dissed the interview, the interviewee, and the interviewers. The predictability of that reaction is duller than the sight of sand in a desert. I find interviews of heads of states a mere repetition of the oft-stated rhetoric and empty promises. The unoriginality of answers is as guaranteed as the day changing colours. But then during a post-midnight scroll down my Twitter timeline I came across a clip posted by PTI’s official handle.

It was Imran Khan being…Imran Khan. Speaking from the heart, speaking artlessly, speaking with an honesty that lights up his crinkled eyes, animates the movement of his rosary encircled left hand, and enhances the simplicity of his analogies, Khan was once again the leader millions rooted for to become the change Pakistan so desperately needed in 2018 and voted him into power. Khan commenting on the plight of people facing the current staggering inflation said:

“Unfortunately, when people are in pain, their sabr (patience) ends too. Pain is inevitable. I’ll explain [it] in simple language to the nation. There is a home. In the home two, three family members gamble, drink, waste money. They leave the home in debts. The family members left behind, what do they do? If they are going to fix the home, there are only two ways [to do that] since Allah has created this world: lower your expenses and increase your income. Think of ways to increase the income and keep lowering your expenses in order to avoid taking loans. In any case no one is ready to give [you] a loan. Now the inhabitants of that home are sitting [in a bind]. Sometimes, the rent collector arrives, someone says you haven’t paid for groceries, sometimes it is the unpaid school fee. The [people living in that] home face a hard time.

Now if at that time you take a microphone to the people of that home to ask them about the performance of those taking care of their issues, of course, they’re going to say they’re facing death, facing destruction. From eating chicken, they have come down to eating dal, from two rotis to one. This is what happens when the home is buried in loans.”

Khan went on to explain how his government inherited a treasury buried in debts, an abysmal current account deficit, and the steps taken to repay those loans.

Not many people will talk about Khan’s unaltering profound empathy when he talks about the suffering millions of Pakistan. Not many naysayers will see beyond the unimaginative, soft questions of the almost deferential interviewers to understand the immense pain Khan feels for every family facing the darkness of inflation, every young person seeking in vain a viable job, every heartbroken poor looking for ways to give his undernourished children three meals a day. Not many watching him talk will note that Khan cares for the wellbeing of each and every Pakistan. Deeply, consistently.

After every speech of Khan and after every interview of Khan, beyond the expected plaudits of his party leaders, cabinet members, and party supporters, the most noticeable thing on Twitter and TV channels is the focus on Khan’s hard, unchanging stance vis-à-vis the cases of corruption and misuse of authority. What is discussed, breathlessly, is Khan’s “obsession” about not giving an NRO–the official unofficial pardon–and reiterating ad nauseam that he will punish all those who looted the country’s treasury. Everything else Khan says is of zero significance to the combined opposition, recently emerged in the form of Pakistan Democratic Movement, and their supporters on TV and on Twitter and in dimly lit living rooms and on WhatsApp groups across Pakistan.

All the efforts that Prime Minister Khan and his government are making for resolving of minor and major national concerns, and their hours-long work every day, without a break, to figure out ways of eradication of issues, micro and macro, is reduced to three headlines, in varied forms, in different degrees of shrillness and uniformity: Imran Khan’s government is a failure. Imran Khan talks about nothing but corruption. Imran Khan’s government is doing nothing but plotting ways to push the opposition against something higher and thicker than the Games of Thrones wall.

The strategy seems to be working well. People hear these politicians on TV, and they believe them. Opposition is always more credible when the incumbent government seems to be struggling to get things under control, is flailing in various domains, appears to be struggling to clearly enunciate its message, the communication skills of its spokespersons are weaker than the emotional rhetoric of the opposition, and most of its press conferences focus on issues that are of little or no relevance to the regular Pakistani.

Amidst the quibbling of a representative of government, two opposition leaders, one mostly partisan anchor-person, the circus disguised as a debate every night ends in…nothing. The audience hears nothing but blame and more blame and counter blame. In their homes where they suffer in silence, in redundant tears, in constant prayers, they seldom hear what the government is doing. They mostly remain unaware of what Imran Khan and his government are doing for them.

What the suffering millions do not hear in raucous TV shows and linear press conferences that in just one wee –October 19-October 23–the Prime Minister’s Office and his ministers announced:

“Prime Minister said, ‘I am the one who is most deeply pained by the issue of inflation. I will not tolerate any lapse in the way of providing relief to the people’.”

“Prime Minister has instructed all district officers to take strict actions against hoarders and profiteers. Abundant availability of basic items on prefixed prices must be ensured.”

“Prime Minister said that the purchase of wheat and other essentials must be ensured through proper planning in order to avoid a situation of shortage and inflation. Using modern technology, agriculturists must be provided facilities to increase production.”

“In the next few days, two hundred thousand tonne sugar will be imported [to solve the issue of unavailability of sugar].”

“For the first time in Pakistan’s history, government is constructing houses for the underprivileged and [low] salaried people.”

“Prime Minister has instructed banks to ensure easy availability of loans [for construction of houses] to underprivileged people in a manner that takes into special consideration their self-respect [dignity].”

“Prime Minister said that the government is doing its best to enhance the range of the National Health Card so that more people are able to utilise the facility.”

“In his first address to the nation, Prime Minister Imran Khan discussed stunted growth which affects 4/10 Pakistani children. Two years on, a comprehensive programme, Nashonuma under Ehsaas Pakistan, to fight stunting and malnutrition has been launched in nine districts.”

“In the past 24 hours [Oct 22], no locusts have been reported in KP, Punjab, Sindh and Balochistan. Anti-locust survey operations are in progress. In the last 24 hours, 137,525 hectares have been surveyed. In the last six months, 1,13,4488 hectares have been treated.”

“A fishermen welfare fund will be established for welfare schemes of local fishermen.”

“First time in 50 years, two big dams are being constructed.”

“Current account was in surplus of $73 million during Sept, bringing surplus for 1st quarter to $792 million compared to deficit of $1,492 million during same time last year. Exports grew 29 percent and remittances grew 9 percent over previous month.”

“Pre-corona data on economic KPIs shows that almost all economic indicators had a positive trajectory. Then we [Khan’s government] tackled Corona and now again things are improving.”

“Pakistan has achieved impressive progress on its FATF action plan. 21 out of 27 action items now stand cleared. Remaining 6 rated as partially complete. Within a year, we progressed from 5/27 to 21/27 completed items. FATF acknowledged that any blacklisting is off the table now.”

It may not be enough, it may not always be the best idea, it may not sometimes work. But one step at a time, one day at a time, implementation of one initiative at a time, Prime Minister Imran Khan and his government are doing their best to fulfil their promise of a naya Pakistan that is for all who call it home.

InshaAllah

https://gulfnews.com/opinion/op-eds/is-the-dream-of-imran-khans-naya-pakistan-still-a-possibility-1.1603519320288

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Presidential Debate 2020: Biden Finds a Way to Handle Trump

By Virginia Heffernan

October 24, 2020


The Donald Trump who showed up for the debate Thursday was the glum one. Someone had told him to keep a lid on it, and he was visibly chastened.

“I get treated very badly,” he moped early on. “No president should have to go through what I went through.”

Trump was on such a short leash that he didn’t even bring gusto to his usual scattershot attacks on Joe Biden. He tried to interrupt the moderator, Kristen Welker, in his usual way, jabbing his finger at her and saying, “Excuse me, excuse me,” but he folded when she moved to keep him in check.

So Trump was less animated than usual, but the hangdog performance only laid bare how little substance he brings to the debate stage.

Biden knows the rules of political engagement are in splinters. The days of reasoned debate are behind us. So of course he hasn’t been trying to bring up the fine points of decarbonisation or critical race theory in his head-to-heads with President Trump.

It’s hard to remember now, but campaigners like Barack Obama and Mitt Romney and Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter once had rational exchanges of views on topics of import and even sophistication.

But Biden — like the rest of us tired Americans — recognises that the Trump show is nothing but brute affect, volume and body language. Whether dialled to 11 or kept to a dull roar, that show has become monotonous.

In competitions, we often think the advantage belongs to the player with the most options. A basketball player who has a wide range of shots, skills and strategies does better than a one-trick pony.

But in a verbal negotiation, the player with the most limited range often has an edge. If one person knows only English and a second person knows Yoruba, Swahili, French and English, the second person is forced to speak the monoglot’s language. And if that’s not her first language, she has less command of it.

This is true of American dialects too. Biden, like nearly all Americans with experience or education or both, has a range of idioms. He speaks folksy, posh, senatorial, legalese, heart-broken, hopeful and even (in cringe moments) something he seems to think may be Ebonics. He also can be ironic.

Trump has no ear for irony. And he speaks only the language of New Yorkese circa the 1980s. This idiom is politely described as brash. In fact, it’s more fighting style than language. Its moves are volume, interruption, vulgarity, shutdowns, insults, whataboutisms — anything to dominate an opponent, deflect an interlocutor. There’s nothing that looks or sounds like verifiable facts, a marshaling of evidence, an application of reason.

When, at one point, Biden steered the conversation from infighting to ordinary Americans, referring as he routinely does to his childhood in Scranton, Pa., Trump blurted nonsensically: “He doesn’t come from Scranton.” (Biden comes from Scranton.)

When Trump was asked about the more than 500 children separated from their families at the border and still not reunited, he went for reflexive projection. “They did it,” he said. “We changed the policy. They built the cages.”

Never does Trump engage with the question at hand. He doesn’t even defend his position on immigration or the border wall. His brain just fires out syllables meant to parry questions he experiences as attacks, meaning all questions.

And of course, here was Trump “debating” Biden on Sept. 29:

Biden: “My son was in Iraq. He spent a year there ... He got the Bronze Star. He got the Conspicuous Service Medal. He was not a loser ...”

Trump: “Are you talking Hunter? Are you talking about Hunter?”

Biden: “I’m talking about my son Beau Biden ...”

Trump: “I don’t know Beau. I know Hunter. Hunter got ...”

And off Trump went into a world of off-topic lies. He didn’t take the clear opportunity to temper or deny the cruel comments he has reportedly made about American soldiers. He just started madly firing a cowboy pistol loaded with the word “Hunter.”

This style is out of bounds. And Biden clearly found it repellent. He refused to even try to match it.

Biden on Thursday turned instead to a strategy he has employed throughout the campaign, one also often used with toddlers and drunks. He detached from the ego battle, for the most part ignored the jabs, smiled, looked away and shook his head to register disbelief.

Irony has been overused to meta-designate everything from trucker hats to unmet expectations. But the distance it can create remains a powerful tool, even against language and behaviour as aggressive as Trump’s.

Ironists don’t mistake Trump’s claims, say, for reality; they keep his words in quotation marks. The ironic stance keeps Biden from having to walk out, to disengage or to bash back.

The Hungarian-born British psychologist Peter Fonagy has shown how it works for parents. When a mother hears her child cry, she ought to walk but not rush to attend him. And having assured him he’s been heard, she should turn right away. A good parent “lightens feelings with ironic detachment (It’s not the end of the world).”

For someone like Trump whose feelings have been taken way too seriously for way too long, ironic detachment is key. Biden displayed it when he shook his head in amused disbelief over Trump’s attack on Hunter in September. He did it Thursday when Trump levelled left-field accusations at him or started rambling about small windows and how the sun doesn’t offer enough power.

Trump raves, lies outrageously, pushes one melodrama after another, and Biden shakes his head and keeps his focus. He used one of his favourite ways of dismissing Trump again, and it suited the moment: “malarkey.”

“You’re full of nonsense,” he as much as says. “We got it; I got it, but really, kid, I’ve got work to do.”

Irony is not flashy. But it works. And Biden has presented a model of how to respond to Trump’s provocations in the next crucial days. America hears Trump whining about the end of the world. But we know it’s not.

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Virginia Heffernan is an American journalist and cultural critic

https://gulfnews.com/opinion/op-eds/presidential-debate-2020-biden-finds-a-way-to-handle-trump-1.74777177

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The Final Debate Reinforced Biden’s Lead

By Anna Jacobs

23 Oct 2020

President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden, met for their second and final presidential debate on Thursday night in Nashville, Tennessee. The debate was moderated by Kristen Welker, the White House correspondent of NBC News, and featured a mute button to help maintain order after the chaos of the first presidential debate.

This debate featured a calmer, more substantive discussion on policy. Both candidates made their final appeals to the electorate and issued their final attacks on the opposing candidate. Biden sharpened his message on Trump’s failed leadership on managing the COVID-19 pandemic and the lack of a healthcare reform plan while Trump fired back, arguing that Biden represents an inactive, corrupt politician who has done nothing during his decades in public service.

Biden’s most important message of the night was unity and empathy, which seems to be winning over undecided voters. They support the idea of bringing the country together amid intense division and partisanship. According to a CNN instant poll of debate watchers, Biden did a better job in the debate. Fifty-three percent of voters who watched the debate said Biden won the debate, while 39 percent said that Trump did.

More polling will surface in the coming days about the debate and its impact on undecided voters, but early impressions indicate that it did not fundamentally change the dynamics of the race. Even Fox News contributor Doug Schoen argued that “it is safe to say the 96-minute exchange between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden will likely not fundamentally alter the presidential race. Over 48 million Americans have already voted, and few people remain undecided.”

While many agree that Trump’s performance was better this time around, it was not enough to shift the momentum of the race. But it is important to remember the CNN debate poll after the third presidential debate in 2016 showed Clinton winning by only one point less than Biden (52 percent for Clinton, and 39 percent for Trump).

With just 11 days to the election, this debate reinforced Biden’s lead. Nearly 50 million Americans have already cast their ballot, a record number. Polling shows that Democrats are voting earlier and in huge numbers, whereas Trump voters are choosing to wait, thanks to the president’s false statements that voting early would lead to voter fraud.

But none of us can forget 2016. At this point in the 2016 election cycle, most pollsters gave Hillary Clinton a 90 percent probability of beating Trump. So, what is different this time around?

‘Learning to live with it? Come on! We are learning to die with it!’

The key difference is COVID-19. Trump is attempting to paint a more positive picture to show that his administration is in control of the situation, but the numbers show otherwise. Eight and a half million Americans have been infected, and more than 220,000 have died. As Biden reminded us, it is possible that another 200,000 could die by the end of the year. Infection rates are increasing across the country. There is also a sharp rise in the number of hospitalisations and deaths. The day before this debate, there were nearly 65,000 new COVID-19 cases, one of the highest daily rates on record. The economy is sputtering as this public health crisis continues to hurt American families. Families, schools, and small businesses are suffering. Americans are in dire need of leadership.

Trump uses China as a scapegoat and essentially refuses to take responsibility for how the pandemic has been managed during his presidency. He regularly attacks popular civil servants like Dr Anthony Fauci and downplays the dangers of the virus.

He reaffirmed this messaging in the debate, and it is hurting his chances. He continues to mock mask wearing and social distancing, all while denying the gravity of this crisis. Voters are also not immune to his ceaseless flood of lies. Trump regularly contradicts his own experts and insists that a vaccine will be ready by the end of the year. The lack of transparency and honesty surrounding the presidency is more unmistakable than ever.

Trump’s strategy is not working. Most Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus crisis. In the debate, Trump claimed we are learning to live with the reality of the virus, but Biden fired back: “Learning to live with it? Come on! We are learning to die with it.”

This was one of the best moments of the night for Biden. Similar to his strategy in the first debate, Biden spoke directly to the camera and evoked empathy. He spoke directly to people who have lost loved ones to the pandemic, reaffirming his core message: a president should embody integrity, empathy, and compassion.

The importance of healthcare

Unsurprisingly, COVID-19 and healthcare were front and centre in this debate. This unprecedented health crisis has added even more importance to the healthcare debate and highlighted concerns about what would happen if Obamacare is overturned. Even before the coronavirus crisis, healthcare was one of the top priorities for American voters. In the 2018 midterm elections, three-quarters of registered voters cited healthcare (75 percent) and economy (74 percent) as their top voting issues.

This is important because healthcare is one of Trump’s clearest failures. Trump and the Republicans have no healthcare reform plan to replace Obamacare if it is overturned by the Supreme Court. Trump promises that the millions of Americans with pre-existing medical conditions will be able to keep their health insurance, but he cannot explain how. The Republicans have had more than 10 years to propose an alternative to Obamacare, and they still have nothing. This reality is not lost on American voters, and it is more salient than ever in 2020.

In the debate, Biden set up a clear contrast between his platform and that of Trump’s, affirming that “healthcare is not a privilege, it is a right”. Biden wants to reform and expand Obamacare, while the Trump administration is supporting a lawsuit to have it thrown out with no plan for how to replace it. All this in the middle of a pandemic. Eleven days out, Trump and the Republicans still have no answer on healthcare.

Joe Biden is not Hillary Clinton, and Trump is no longer the ‘outsider’

Perhaps Trump’s more effective messages of the night coalesced around attacks targeting Biden as a corrupt politician. Trump called into question Biden’s 47 years in office, asking what would be different this time around. It is a fair question, and these attacks on Biden could convince some undecided voters. It worked well in 2016 against Hillary Clinton, when Trump was an outsider. But he is not an outsider any more. He can no longer promise to “drain the swamp” – he is now the essence of the swamp.

Polling and focus groups show more positive opinions of Biden than Clinton. Many independent voters who sat out in 2016 or voted for third party candidates because they so strongly disliked both Clinton and Trump are more comfortable voting for Biden. There are many reasons for this, from perceptions about the Clintons as a corrupt political family and Hillary’s personal likability, to rampant sexism that poses extra challenges to women trying to rise to the highest levels of national politics.

But a lot can happen in the remaining 11 days

It is 2020, and American politics is more unpredictable than ever. There are still pathways for a Trump victory, albeit narrow ones, and there are a plethora of wild cards and uncertainties that could shift dynamics at any moment. Many of us remember, for example, when FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to Congress about Hillary Clinton’s emails on October 28, only a few days before the election, which dominated the news cycle and hurt her standing in the polls. Major pollsters claim that the Comey letter probably cost Clinton the election, only days before it took place.

It is scenarios like these that are keeping the Biden campaign up at night.

Moreover, we are voting in the middle of a global pandemic and orchestrated disinformation campaigns. There are serious concerns about foreign election interference and the impact of disinformation on social media platforms, as well as questions about voter turnout under social distancing regimes, mail-in voting, and a host of legal challenges to state voting rules.

In 2016, pollsters were unable to capture a key constituency of Trump voters – non-college-educated whites in the so-called “Rust Belt” – because they were less likely to answer phone calls from pollsters. These voters in crucial swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin were the key element of Trump’s 2016 win, and they are more important than ever this time around. To push back against Biden’s steady lead in the polls and in fundraising, Republicans have spotlighted their successes in voter registration campaigns in Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, arguing that these Trump voters are not being included in polling. This will help Republicans, but I do not think it will be enough.

This debate was one of Trump’s last chances to move the needle among undecided voters. He may have been calmer and more restrained, but his outrageous statements and lies were as present as ever (at one point he said he was “the least racist person in the room”). Biden was sharper than he was in the first debate and stayed on message. His final message to Americans was one of empathy and unity, a much-needed contrast to Trump’s divisiveness and vitriol. But it is 2020, and anything can happen.

https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2020/10/23/the-final-debate-reinforced-bidens-lead/

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Saudi Ban Shows Importance of Rules-Based Trade

By Güven Sak

October 24 2020

Turkey still does not have an ambassador in Tel Aviv, our president campaigns against Israel whenever he gets the chance, and conditions under the COVID-19 pandemic are less than ideal, yet Turkish-Israeli trade continues unhindered. In the first nine months of 2020, Turkey’s exports to Israel amounted to $3.2 billion, almost the same as the export volume of 2019. Troubled political relations between the two countries have not had a direct impact on bilateral trade. There are no calls for boycotts, nor measures to slow down trade between Turkey and Israel. Despite the troubled relationship between Erdogan and Netanyahu, the system works.

Turkey still has an ambassador in Riyadh, yet we are now hearing calls for boycotting “made in Turkey” products in Saudi Arabia. Since the savage murder of Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, political relations between the countries have been deteriorating, and it is having a direct effect on bilateral trade. The Saudis are calling for a broad boycott of Turkish products, or at the very least, slowing down customs procedures for Turkish products.

Note that Turkey’s bilateral trade with Saudi Arabia is about one third lower than its trade with Israel.

Turkey is a trading nation. It is very difficult to trade with its eastern and southern neighbors, which is why more than 50 percent of Turkish industrial products go to the West. The European Union is a cluster of rules-based nation states, and Turkey has become an integral part of its market. European value chains pass through Turkey, especially in the automotive sector. These relations resist and sometimes even grow under an incredible amount of political pressure.

Why is it hard to sell goods to the east and south? Turkey’s eastern and southern neighbors are not rules-based nation states. It means that if you want to enter their markets, your capital has to be on good terms with their capital. For a long time, Ankara got along tolerably well with Riyadh, and trade was fine. Now that political relations are suffering, trade is suffering.

Turkey and Israel are both functioning market economies, hence the commercial contacts between private companies are not directly affected by political problems between Ankara and Tel Aviv. Trade flourishes despite political bickering.

The level of political relations is, of course, not good for deepening commercial ties between the two countries, yet existing relations can continue. Trade stays more or less on the same level.

What do these calls for boycotting Turkish products and slowing down Turkish container traffic to Saudi Arabia entail?

Saudi Arabia is not yet anywhere near becoming a functioning market economy, I’m afraid. Despite ambitious transformation programs, the country is neither a market economy nor a rules-based nation state. If Saudi Arabia is serious about its post-oil future, it should get serious about its transformation program and become a constructive commercial player in our region.

https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/opinion/guven-sak/saudi-ban-shows-importance-of-rules-based-trade-159408

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