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Middle East Press ( 4 Nov 2020, NewAgeIslam.Com)

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Middle East Press on Islamophobia in France, Politicisation of Religion and Hate against Rohingya: New Age Islam's Selection, 4 November 2020


By New Age Islam Edit Desk

4 November 2020

• Mainstreaming Islamophobia In France

By Talha Kose

• Why Has The West Turned Against Islam?

By Muhittin Ataman

• Confronting France’s Muslim Problem Should Be Through Dialogue

By Osama Al-Sharif

• World Leaders Should Stop Politicizing Religion

By Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib

• Biden, Not Trump, Is The Leader America Needs Now

By Anthony Pahnke

• Syria Braces For War But Peace May Be Given A Chance

By Talmiz Ahmad

•  The Rising Tide Of Hate Against The Rohingya

By Dr. Azeem Ibrahim

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 Mainstreaming Islamophobia in France

By Talha Kose

November 03, 2020

 

People gather on the Place de la Sorbonne to watch a live broadcast on a giant screen of the national tribute to the French history teacher Samuel Paty, who was killed in a terrorist attack, in the capital Paris, France, Oct. 21, 2020. (Photo by Getty Images)

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AFrench high school teacher, Samuel Paty, was brutally murdered by a young, Russian-born Muslim of Chechen descent, Abdoullakh Abouyedovich Anzorov. This heinous terrorist attack caused outrage in French society. The murder of Paty was not the country's first such incident. France had also previously suffered Daesh violence and the 2015 Charlie Hebdo attack. Many leaders, including those from Muslim countries, demonstrated solidarity with France in the aftermath of those acts but Muslim communities and institutions were still put under surveillance and heavy pressure.

French President Emmanuel Macron's response to Paty's murder changed the nature of the discussion in France. Macron, rather than using a nuanced comment and condemnation, put Islam and Muslims at the center of this unfortunate incident. He said that "this is a typical Islamist terror attack" and portrayed the murder as a threat against the country's freedom of speech. His statement "Islam is a religion globally in crisis" and his arrogant call for a reform in Islam angered Muslim leaders.

Macron's efforts to connect and associate a marginal terrorist attack with Islam's essence outraged Muslims. French authorities continued the debate by portraying cartoons desecrating Islamic values and the prophet of Islam in public buildings.

This practice of desecrating Islamic values and symbols under the "freedom of speech" banner has created an outcry all over the Muslim world. French Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin ordered that the Grande Mosque de Pantin be closed for six months even as any Muslims and religious leaders in France and elsewhere condemned the attacks against Paty and those in Nice and Avignon.

The recent responses of the French bureaucracy are likely to have a disturbing impact on Muslims living in the country. The collective punishment of their community because of a terrorist attack is a dangerous development that may further marginalize Muslims.

The hatred against Islam and Muslims is becoming a mainstream practice in France. Rather than condemning the acts of small groups that are spreading hate, intolerance and violence, French authorities target the essence of the Muslim belief system and question its compatibility with modern values.

There is a gamut of underlying reasons behind the spread of radicalism and violent extremism among the Muslim communities. In Europe and elsewhere, social scientists published thousands of papers and hundreds of books about the complexity of "Islamist extremism," and the radicalization and the spread of "violent extremism."

French officials' characterization of attacks committed by Muslims and their quick-fix solutions contradict the scientific evidence. This populist and biased way of depicting terrorist acts and hate crimes just targets the Muslim communities and marginalizes even the more moderate voices.

French authorities are assuming that people committing those brutal murders are Muslims that represent the mainstream understanding of Islam. The research on "Islamist violent extremism" has demonstrated that those who commit these heinous acts are either not knowledgeable about the Islamic religion, value system and practices or do not have proper training about the faith and adequate understanding of Islam.

Humiliation, discrimination, economic and social marginalization and exposure to trauma are more relevant predictors of resorting to radicalization and violent extremism among many identity groups including Muslim immigrants.

This practice puts Muslims of all views on the spot. Islamophobia is becoming mainstream thought and state policy in France but this view used to be a marginal approach pursued by the extreme right and xenophobic circles in France because marginalizing and disenfranchising Muslim communities will lead to grave consequences.

Muslim communities all over the world do not generate security problems or support terrorist activities. Extremists worldwide are not pursuing their political goals with violence against non-Muslims or violence against Muslims who have different views.

What is more dangerous in these developments is that extremists of the French radical right and extremists continue to feed each other and benefit from this polarization. Voices of the moderate majority from all sides are silenced under the rubble of terrorist attacks. We know the possible consequences of demonizing a particular community and belief system from our experiences of the 1930s and 1940s in Europe.

It is time to increase the dialogues between the moderate voices and strengthen the cooperation and solidarity among them for a more inclusive and tolerant society in France and elsewhere. There is sufficient scientific evidence and research related to the underlying sources of radicalization and violent extremism. Populist politicians should not distort the reality and scientific evidence for their political agenda.

https://www.dailysabah.com/opinion/columns/mainstreaming-islamophobia-in-france

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Why Has The West Turned Against Islam?

By Muhittin Ataman

November 04, 2020

 

A Muslim walks inside Grand Mosque of Paris, Paris, France, Oct. 29, 2020. (AP Photo)

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Historically, Western governments prefer liberal values and principles in their foreign relations only when they enjoy a competitive advantage. When the governments experience crises and find themselves in a disadvantaged position, hatred, alienization and otherization increases. This has been the case recently with the Western world knee-deep in political, social and economic crises.

As a result, they hold others responsible and accountable for the problems they face, just like when they blamed Jews in the first half of the 20th century. If they do not face a real threat, Western governments will construct one – or at least the illusion of one.

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union and communism, the Western perspective of Islam has increasingly become negative. There are many reasons for vilifying Islam and Muslims over the past several decades. In this text, I will mention some of these factors.

First, the West needs a political enemy to survive. For decades, dominant Western countries fought fascism, with the main representative being Germany's Adolf Hitler, during the first half of the 20th century and communism, mainly represented by the Soviet Union, during the second half of the 20th century. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the West replaced the "red menace" communism with the “green menace,” Islam.

Even though Muslims do not constitute a real political or military threat to the world, i.e. the West, Western countries continue to politicize Islam and Muslims as their main opponent. In the past, they considered fascism or communism a threat to their way of life; nowadays, they claim the same thing for Islam.

Second, using an anti-Islam and “Islamic terrorism” jargon is one of the easiest ways to assert dominance over governments in the Muslim world. The West does not prefer independent governments to manage the Muslim world. Colonial powers want to maintain their direct and indirect control over these countries.

France, in particular, has been exploiting the resources of African Muslim countries such as Mali, Niger, Senegal, Chad, Gambia and Mauritania. For instance, today France and some other Western countries prefer putschist Gen. Khalifa Haftar, who is determined to preserve French interests, to rule Libya.

Third, the cost of using anti-Islam rhetoric is quite low. Western countries could not and cannot otherize other countries like India or China. The interdependence of the West and China or Russia is stronger than that between the West and Muslim countries, making the cost for Western global powers' rifts with Beijing and Moscow quite high.

Therefore, the otherization of Islam is more practical. It is easier to mobilize the world behind Islamophobia, since China, Russia and especially India, which host Muslim minorities and control historically Muslim-majority territories, have a traditional enmity against Muslim countries.

On the other hand, controlling the Muslim world will determine the global rivalry between the West and others. Whoever controls the Muslim-dominated regions such as the Middle East, North Africa, the Horn of Africa, Central Asia and South Asia will gain the advantage and become superior.

Fourth, the governments in the Muslim world have strong political discourse and a wide reach. With devoted followers all over the world, Islam is a global phenomenon and has the potential to unite influential countries across the globe. Muslims constitute the second-largest religious group, and Islam is the fastest-growing religion in the world. Therefore, Western countries feel threatened by Islam and Muslims. It has become the second-largest faith in many European countries, including Belgium and the Netherlands.

Today the number of Muslims living in the European countries exceeds 20 million, and their presence in the West grows every year in the continent's streets. Muslims have begun to shore up different sectors of European societies. Likewise, the refugee wave continues from the Muslim world, heading toward Western Europe. That is, the number of Muslims living there will only increase.

Last but not least, Western governments, most of which have no respect for religions, do not respect sacred figures, including Jesus, who plays a central role in Christianity. Many Western media platforms have no redline in terms of respecting religions and faiths; therefore, they draw cartoons even insulting Jesus. If this is the case, we cannot expect someone who does not respect their own sacred personalities to respect the sacred personalities of other people.

By targeting Prophet Muhammad, they contribute to the radicalization of some Muslim groups who are ready to react to these insulting moves in the West. The more governments pursue anti-Islamic policies, the more it contributes to the polarization; and the more polarization, the more social and political tension will rise in Western countries. Islam and Muslims are not outsiders in Europe and the West; they are a part of it.

Since otherisation and alienation of Islam and Muslims will sooner or later lead to the destabilization of Western societies and states, the current anti-Islamic policies will be counterproductive. That is, Islamophobic policies are a lose-lose strategy; Western politicians such as French President Emmanuel Macron may save the day but not the future of the West.

https://www.dailysabah.com/opinion/columns/why-has-the-west-turned-against-islam

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Confronting France’s Muslim Problem Should Be Through Dialogue

By Osama Al-Sharif

November 03, 2020

 

French President Emmanuel Macron presents his strategy to fight separatism, in Les Mureaux, near Paris, France, October 2, 2020. (Reuters)

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Religious extremism is not exclusive to Muslims, as demonstrated by the actions of Buddhist zealots in Myanmar, Jewish fundamentalists in Israel, and Christian white supremacists in the US.

There are other examples but the focus in the past two decades has been on the various Islamist movements that have embraced a revisionist and violent dogma that is shunned by the majority of Muslims around the world. Neither Al-Qaeda nor Daesh is a true representation of what more than a billion Muslims believe and practice every day.

When French President Emanuel Macron last month said that “Islam is a religion which is experiencing a crisis today, all over the world,” he was in fact generalizing and creating a stereotype that is false, insulting and misleading. He is no authority on Islam as a religion and should draw a line between the faith that is embraced by billions of people, and what is now called “political Islam,” in its various manifestations.

What Macron should focus on instead is the state of France’s 5 million Muslim citizens, most of whom were born in the country. What he should investigate are the causes of radicalization among the nation’s Muslim youths.

His remarks angered Muslims all over the world and triggered calls for a boycott of French products. Sadly, on Oct, 16, not long after Macron’s speech, a young Chechen murdered a French teacher who had shown blasphemous cartoons to his students. On Oct. 29, a Tunisian immigrant attacked worshippers in a Catholic church in Nice, killing three of them.

These are revolting murders that are condemned by all, especially French Muslims. Nothing can justify the killing of innocent people in the name of religion — any religion.

Following the two incidents, Macron should have shown the moral leadership that is needed in a polarized society. Even before the terrible murders, he should have initiated dialogue with Muslim organizations in France with the aim of addressing the challenges a majority of French Muslims face, especially the state’s failure to integrate many of them into society. The mainstream organizations have embraced the principles of the Republic, including the separation of church and state, but those on the fringes feel left out and so are easy prey for extremists.

France has a Muslim problem and has had it for some time. There have been 36 terrorist attacks in the country attributed to Muslims in the past eight years. This week Macron said he understood the feelings of Muslims about the offensive cartoons.

“I understand and respect that we can be shocked by these caricatures,” he said. “I will never accept that we can justify physical violence for these caricatures and I will always defend in my country the freedom to say, to write, to think, to draw.”

Finding a common ground on which the principles of the Republic and freedom of worship can coexist is something that must be arrived at without foreign interference. It must be done through dialogue and cooperation, rather than incitement.

This week more than 20 European Muslim organizations called on the French president to end his “divisive rhetoric” and show moral leadership. In an open letter, they said that “maligning Islam and your own Muslim citizens, closing mainstream mosques, Muslim and humanitarian rights organizations, and using this as an opportunity to stir up further hatred, has given further encouragement to racists and violent extremists.”

The main issue for French Muslims is socioeconomic and has to do with schooling, social integration and economic opportunities. The state is right to curtail foreign intervention but it must also provide alternatives and give young French Muslims the opportunity to succeed. Even Macron, in his controversial speech, admitted that the country’s Muslim citizens have been let down by successive governments. He said that France has created its own “separatism” by dumping poorer people in suburban ghettos with poor-quality housing and few jobs.

Macron should be wary of unleashing waves of Islamophobia in France that would target millions of moderate and law-abiding Muslims. According to studies, only a minority of French Muslims embraces a radical, paranoid, anti-Western version of Islam.

For Macron and his ministers to talk about civil war, a fight to death and France under siege is not the right way to resolve the nation’s Islamist crisis. Dark clouds are looming as the far right prepares to attempt to take over in coming elections, banking on rising hatred and distrust within French society.

On the other hand, one should not fall for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s opportunistic rhetoric targeting Macron. His tussle with the French president transcends religion and is purely political. Erdogan’s incitement is both dangerous and reckless. His controversial approach to regional politics has undermined his credibility both at home and abroad. His use of religion to mobilize followers seeks to divide and serves no good purpose.

Last Friday the French Council of the Muslim Faith circulated a sermon to mosques that said this: “The law of the Republic permits these cartoons but obliges no one to like them. We can even detest them. But nothing, absolutely nothing, justifies murder.”

This is the kind of message French Muslims should embrace.

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Osama Al-Sharif is a journalist and political commentator based in Amman.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1758071

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World Leaders Should Stop Politicizing Religion

By Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib

November 01, 2020

We have seen in the past month a dangerous trend of politicizing religion, starting with French President Emmanuel Macron’s speech in which he described Islam as a religion “in crisis” and accused French Muslims of “separatism.” This was followed by a counterattack from Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who accused Macron of insulting Muslims. Regardless of the motives behind this escalating rhetoric, it should stop before it leads to another wave of terrorist attacks, as was witnessed in 2016 following the rise of Daesh.

In the French president’s controversial speech, the positive points — namely his intent to teach Arabic in schools, his plan to promote Islamic culture, and his confession that Muslim immigrants have been left isolated by the state in ghettos of “misery and hardship” — were overshadowed by the strong overall tone. This offered the chance for Erdogan to position himself as the defender of Islam and to garner popular sympathy, especially amid the boycott campaign he is facing in Arab countries in response to his intrusive policies in the region. The initial verbal battle between Erdogan and Macron was followed by a gruesome terror attack, in which a teacher was beheaded for showing Charlie Hebdo’s blasphemous cartoons.

Following this incident, Macron doubled down on his position and the cartoons were projected onto the facades of French government buildings. Shortly after, two Muslim women were stabbed next to the Eiffel Tower. The poster of the offensive cartoons prompted Muslim leaders, who had so far remained quiet and refrained from interfering in what they viewed as internal French affairs, to condemn their publication. Erdogan again jumped on the bandwagon and reiterated his attacks on the French president. Another gruesome terrorist attack occurred last week in a church in Nice, where an assailant slaughtered three people.

The French authorities have started clamping down on Islamic organizations, even threatening to close one that fights Islamophobia. Far-right pundits have taken the opportunity to push for their theory of the “great replacement,” predicting that the white European population will be replaced by immigrants. Essayist Eric Zemmour called for the French to fight for their country’s “liberation” from the “colonizers.” The question is where does it end? This quest by politicians to raise their popularity and visibility by politicizing religion and by raising the rhetoric is very dangerous and could lead to another wave of violence. This is why former President Francois Hollande called for an end to the controversial rhetoric and the adoption of an appeasing tone through which social cohesion can be ensured. Canadian President Justin Trudeau added that liberty of expression has no meaning unless it has limits. The calls of Trudeau were echoed by Archbishop of Toulouse Robert Le Gall, who called the cartoons an insult to Muslims and Christians, adding: “We all see their results.” Amid those wise, calming calls, Charlie Hebdo made an irresponsible and immature statement, claiming that it was proud to provoke Islamists despite the violence.

Officials should be careful when choosing their words. Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin showed discontent with the fact that French stores have dedicated aisles that cater for different religions, saying this contributes to the isolation of minority communities. Following the Nice attack, Macron said, “there is only one community in France — the national community.” This message, which was intended to stress France’s national unity, should not be interpreted to mean that communities no longer have the right to their own peculiarities. Hence, the French state should be very clear that it is protecting its people from terrorism and fighting extremism, not adopting identity politics. Calls for conformity negate the concepts of diversity, plurality of opinion and personal freedom, on which the liberal world relies. Also, the state should make sure that Muslims do not feel targeted. Accusations of separatism that mention them exclusively can instigate feelings of persecution, creating a fertile ground for extremists; hence the severity of the situation.

France seems to be realizing the violence that might snowball because of this escalating rhetoric. On Saturday, the president gave a TV interview in which he distanced himself from the blasphemous cartoons and said that he understands the reaction of Muslims. The same way Macron toned down the rhetoric here, other leaders should follow suit, while it is also the role of religious authorities to give guidance to Muslims on how they should react to and counter such incidents in a manner that is in line with the laws and regulations of their respective countries. The world’s political leaders, religious leaders and the media should all make responsible statements that lead to appeasement and reconciliation in order to prevent the violence from spiraling further.

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Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib is a specialist in US-Arab relations with a focus on lobbying. She is the co-founder of the Research Centre for Cooperation and Peace Building (RCCP), a Lebanese NGO focused on Track II. She is also an affiliated scholar with the Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs at the American University of Beirut.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1757016

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Biden, Not Trump, Is The Leader America Needs Now

By Anthony Pahnke

3 Nov 2020

Radical socialist, corrupt, inept – these are just some of the labels that the campaign of United States President Donald Trump has tried to pin onto Joe Biden over the past few months.  Still, polls show Biden with a significant lead as Americans vote on Election Day.

Four years ago, it was Trump who seemed impermeable to attack, as controversy after controversy did little to shake the loyalty of his supporters.

Four years later, the tables have turned, with Biden not only maintaining a lead over the incumbent, but even causing worry among Republicans that states such as Georgia, Arizona and Texas may be in play.

Trump’s barrage of attacks has failed to connect with voters for a variety of reasons.

From the administration’s failed attempt to deal with the coronavirus pandemic, to the fact that Biden is viewed positively by most Americans, on Election Day, the country is poised to end its failed experiment with Trumpism and the Republicans’ politics of hate, division and chaos.

To start, the Trump administration’s ability to deal with the coronavirus pandemic has left many frustrated. Suburban voters who reside in areas around major cities, in particular, are fed up with the economic uncertainty that business and school closures have caused in their communities. Additional stimulus payments would be well received, but discussions over another round have ground to a halt as Republican leadership in the Senate has ended negotiations.

Where has Trump been during all the commotion? He has not been forging alliances, brokering deals – despite his supposed aptitude as a dealmaker – or providing a soothing, calming voice to the thousands who have lost loved ones during this health crisis.

Instead, Trump has been on the campaign trail, railing into Biden, stoking fears that if the Democrat wins, then the Supreme Court will be fundamentally altered and cities will burn.

Never mind that it has been on Trump’s watch that cities have been burning as protests take place against racial injustice, or that his party essentially forced a nominee onto the Supreme Court despite the fact many Americans would have preferred to wait until after the election to fill the seat of the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Biden, meanwhile, has not been on the campaign trail as much as Trump for the simple fact that he is following coronavirus protocols. Where Trump leads mega rallies with maskless followers, Biden speaks at events that feature people sitting at a safe distance from one another in their cars.

Some say that one of the best ways to see how candidates would be as presidents is to see how they run their campaigns. This is especially true now, when daily case counts of coronavirus shoot up around the country, and Biden is leading a campaign that is cautious when it comes to the wellbeing of his supporters and calming when it comes to widespread anxiety.

These qualities also show how Biden’s campaign mirrors his character. To illustrate, just look at how Trump has consistently tried to make Biden the centre of a corruption controversy that revolves around the Democratic nominee’s son’s dealing with the Ukrainian energy firm Burisma.

The former vice president has taken the opportunity that the Burisma scandal has created to showcase his empathy. Reports document that even when on the campaign trail, Biden takes the time every day to call his son to check in. The reason is quite simple – Biden’s son, Hunter, is recovering from drug addiction, and his dad wants to see how he is doing.

This picture of a caring, calming figure has come to characterise Biden over the years. It was early in his political career when his first wife and daughter were killed in a car accident. When Biden was serving as vice president in the administration of former President Barack Obama, Biden’s son Beau died from brain cancer.

It is true that Biden is a career politician with more than 50 years of experience. What is also true is that over this time, the Democratic nominee has learned a significant amount from his trying experiences of loss and pain.

At a time when thousands around the US are reeling from the loss of loved ones, Biden is the candidate who has over the years developed an authentic sense of compassion.

Four years ago, high unfavourable ratings characterised both presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. This time around, the polls show something different. While many continue to see Trump unfavourably, a majority of Americans view Biden positively. That Americans see the Democrat this way is in part due to his personal history and character.

There has been much speculation about what a Biden administration would entail. Some see a series of progressive policy proposals, whether to address climate change, the infrastructure needs of a country that is seeing its bridges and roads fall into disrepair, or our flawed healthcare system.  Others see in Biden a moderate centrist who would introduce no radical changes if elected.

Regardless of the outcome, what is shared by American voters is real displeasure with how four years of Trump’s divisive rhetoric – whether the target is immigrants, Democrats, or Dr Anthony Fauci of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases – has led the country headlong into chaos.

The country wants a president who will help us resolve our many problems, not contribute to them. And it is Biden – not Trump – who has the personal history and vision that this moment in time requires.

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Anthony Pahnke is an Assistant Professor of International Relations at San Francisco State University, in San Francisco, California. His research deals with social movements and protest, development, and trade policy. 

https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2020/11/3/biden-not-trump-is-the-candidate-america-needs-at-the-moment/

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Syria Braces For War But Peace May Be Given A Chance

By Talmiz Ahmad

November 01, 2020

Two events over the last two weeks suggest that Syria could soon be seeing either a two-front war or, surprisingly, the prospect of peace.

On Oct. 20, Turkey removed its troops from the Morek observation post in northern Idlib. In a separate development on Oct. 26, Russia launched a massive air attack on the Faylaq Al-Sham militia, which is one of the largest rebel groups backed by Turkey.

The Morek base was set up by Turkey following its Sochi agreement with Russia in May 2018. This agreement enforced a truce covering Idlib, with the two countries setting up “de-escalation zones” in the area and jointly patrolling the M4 highway that links Aleppo with Latakia, via Idlib. Turkey was to use this truce to remove all radical groups from the region.

Turkey then set up 12 observation posts, including Morek, to monitor the cease-fire. Not surprisingly, instead of identifying and eliminating the extremist elements of Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS), Turkey sought to project them as “moderate” and co-opt them into the Syrian National Army (SNA).

In the face of Turkish recalcitrance, Syrian government troops, backed by Russian air support, launched an attack in December last year and took large parts of the countryside surrounding Idlib city. This fighting, which ended in March, left four of Turkey’s observation posts, including Morek, surrounded by Syrian troops. This made the Turkish presence untenable, particularly in a conflict with the Syrian armed forces. Following its departure from Morek, the other three posts are expected to be vacated by Turkey by early December.

The withdrawal from Morek is not, however, a Turkish setback. The evacuated troops have been redeployed in the area and Ankara has beefed up its presence with several thousand vehicles bringing in military equipment — tanks, artillery and air defense weaponry — to support the 15,000 troops it has deployed there.

Turkey continues its efforts to incorporate the HTS into the regional “military council” it has set up with the rebel forces — the SNA and the National Liberation Front — in northern Syria. Meanwhile, HTS has made every effort to shed its extremist identity and project itself as a moderate political grouping. To this end, it last month severed its ties with its erstwhile ideological mentor, Abu Mohammed Al-Maqdisi. It announced that its Shariah Council had disavowed his “ideology and behavior.” In response, Al-Maqdisi referred to HTS’ alleged affiliation with Turkish intelligence, recalling the recent attacks by Turkish and American forces on the radical group Hurras Al-Din, which had broken away from HTS in 2018.

Turkey’s consistent failure to distance itself from extremist groups in Idlib is perhaps the reason for Russia’s lethal attack on Faylaq Al-Sham. In fact, this divide between Russian and Turkish interests compounds their differences in Libya and in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, where Ankara has deployed Syrian fighters to back Azerbaijan.

In Syria, the failure to open the M4 highway, an economic lifeline for the beleaguered country, has been a major cause of frustration for Russia and its Syrian partners. Due to constant attacks from extremist groups, Russia even ceased participating in the joint patrols of the highway in August.

Turkey has made it clear that its principal desire is to control the entire Turkish-Syrian border up to a depth of 40 km. In this context, after the Russian air attack, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s warning was directed not at Russia but at the Kurds. He referred to the Kurdish presence close to the border as that of “terrorist organizations” that are “not under our control,” warning that, if the areas are not cleared, “we have the legitimate right to mobilize once again.”

Thus, to free the M4 highway and rid the region of rebel forces, the Syrian army has been mobilized at different points around Idlib — at west Aleppo, south Idlib and northeast Latakia — while Turkey has complemented its own forces by providing new equipment and training for the militias it controls in the region.

The chances of a two-front war — one against the Kurds in northeast Syria to take the border areas under their control and the other against Syrian government forces around Idlib — are therefore very high.

But countervailing forces are also in play. Russian President Vladimir Putin, while referring to differences between Turkey and Russia, thoughtfully noted recently that Erdogan “is a flexible person and finding a common language with him is possible.”

This observation suggests that Erdogan, with his usual approach of going to the edge of the abyss and then drawing back at the last moment, will not jeopardize his country’s ties with Russia, particularly when his differences with the US, regardless of who is in the White House, are so deep.

Thus, instead of war, we could actually see Russia and Turkey work on arrangements in north and northeast Syria that serve all parties’ interests and finally set up dialogue between Turkey and the Assad government. As the Russian intervention in Syria enters its sixth year, this would be the best outcome of Putin’s diplomacy.

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Talmiz Ahmad is an author and former Indian ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Oman and the UAE. He holds the Ram Sathe Chair for International Studies, Symbiosis International University, Pune, India.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1756996

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The Rising Tide Of Hate Against The Rohingya

By Dr. Azeem Ibrahim

November 04, 2020

Evidence is beginning to emerge that the Myanmar military, the Tatmadaw, is once again instigating a campaign of propaganda against the Rohingya. Observers on the ground are convinced that violence will surely follow once again.

Of the 1 million Rohingya who were in Myanmar in 2016, about two-thirds were pushed over the border to Bangladesh during the military’s “clearing operations” in 2017 and 2018. It was an act of genocide that is being prosecuted in the International Court of Justice (ICJ).

Most of those who remained were already in camps for internally displaced people as a consequence of communal violence in 2012 and 2013 or, for some, even earlier. Indeed, the main reason why there are still so many Rohingya in Myanmar at all is because those in the camps could not easily flee.

Now it appears that the federal authorities in Myanmar are intent on finishing what they started. The Rohingya are once again portrayed as a threat, which is an absurd charge given that hardly any remain free in society at large, even in their former Rakhine state heartland, and that those held in the internal camps are largely cut off from any interaction with the rest of the country. Occasionally, some manage to escape from the camps — but the first thing they do is try is to find a way out of the country.

But the mentality that drives a genocide such as this is not bound by reality any more than it is bound by compassion and humanity. A genocide is almost always also a ritual of “purification.” Merely reducing a people to non-relevance is not enough: They must be destroyed and removed entirely, otherwise the “purification” will have failed.

For that reason, the handful of Rohingya remaining free in Myanmar — and certainly the hundreds of thousands effectively imprisoned in “refugee” camps — remain an affront to the project of “purification” pursued by the military. At the very least, it is unfinished business. More likely, it is perceived as an infuriating act of defiance that must be crushed.

Unfortunately, it appears that even the ICJ trial has not succeeded in deterring further hostility toward the Rohingya. The more optimistic observers had hoped the legal action would be the first step toward redress for the Rohingya and might, in the longer term, mean that they could return to the land of their birth. The most that can be said of the trial now is that it might have slightly delayed the final act of the genocide.

It seems the Tatmadaw are once again getting restless and that they no longer appear to feel in any way restrained by global opinion or the censure of international law.

Perhaps they believe that all the reputational and economic damage they might have feared as a consequence of the genocide has already happened, and so no practical impediment remains to them finishing what they started. Or perhaps they feel that reigniting this issue might help them entrench themselves in an election year by providing them with a bit more power in the ongoing tug of war they have with the civilian government.

Whatever the case may be, the only thing that can prevent this situation from escalating and resulting in another wave of refugees, or even mass murder, is a robust and proactive response from the international community. And, once again, such a response is unlikely to be forthcoming.

There are only three international powers that have the clout to intervene and stop what is coming: The UN, the US and China. It is more likely China would veto any UN action on the genocide.

That leaves the US, which might have intervened in the halcyon days of the 1990s — but now is a country entirely consumed by internal instability in the wake of a bitterly divided and fraught election.

Once again the world can see a genocide coming. And once again, the world is failing to do anything about it.

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Dr. Azeem Ibrahim is a director at the Center for Global Policy in Washington, D.C.

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1758131

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